Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.000610 0.000692 0.000779 0.000878 0.000987 0.001102 0.001234
2026-01-18 0.000474 0.000587 0.000714 0.000867 0.001046 0.001248 0.001491
2026-01-25 0.000408 0.000536 0.000686 0.000875 0.001105 0.001372 0.001704
2026-02-01 0.000356 0.000492 0.000660 0.000878 0.001152 0.001479 0.001898
2026-02-08 0.000302 0.000439 0.000614 0.000850 0.001154 0.001528 0.002018
2026-02-15 0.000259 0.000396 0.000577 0.000827 0.001159 0.001577 0.002135
2026-02-22 0.000231 0.000368 0.000556 0.000823 0.001185 0.001651 0.002285
2026-03-01 0.000208 0.000346 0.000540 0.000822 0.001215 0.001729 0.002440
2026-03-08 0.000186 0.000322 0.000518 0.000813 0.001231 0.001787 0.002570
2026-03-15 0.000165 0.000298 0.000496 0.000800 0.001240 0.001837 0.002688
2026-03-22 0.000156 0.000292 0.000499 0.000823 0.001299 0.001953 0.002899
2026-03-29 0.000146 0.000282 0.000495 0.000835 0.001344 0.002052 0.003086
2026-04-05 0.000132 0.000265 0.000479 0.000828 0.001359 0.002111 0.003222
2026-04-12 0.000118 0.000248 0.000461 0.000817 0.001369 0.002160 0.003345
2026-04-19 0.000110 0.000239 0.000456 0.000825 0.001406 0.002250 0.003527
2026-04-26 0.000101 0.000228 0.000448 0.000828 0.001435 0.002328 0.003693
2026-05-03 0.000089 0.000208 0.000422 0.000801 0.001416 0.002335 0.003756
2026-05-10 0.000078 0.000192 0.000401 0.000779 0.001404 0.002351 0.003832
2026-05-17 0.000071 0.000182 0.000390 0.000775 0.001420 0.002408 0.003969
2026-05-24 0.000066 0.000174 0.000383 0.000775 0.001442 0.002475 0.004121
2026-05-31 0.000059 0.000164 0.000370 0.000766 0.001449 0.002518 0.004239
2026-06-07 0.000053 0.000153 0.000357 0.000754 0.001450 0.002552 0.004342
2026-06-14 0.000052 0.000153 0.000362 0.000775 0.001507 0.002675 0.004585